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RISK INTELLIGENCE: HOW TO LIVE WITH UNCERTAINTY

"Risk Intelligence is a manifesto for a new approach to knowledge and uncertainty. It will change the way you think." - Jimmy Wales


US cover                            UK cover


To be published in the US by Free Press on 17 April 2012 - click here to pre-order on Amazon.com

To be published in the UK by Atlantic Books on 30 June 2012 - click here to pre-order on Amazon.co.uk

ISBN-10: 1451610904

ISBN-13: 978-1451610901



ABOUT THIS BOOK:

There is a special kind of intelligence for dealing with risk and uncertainty. It doesn’t correlate with IQ and most psychologists fail to spot it because it is found in a
disparate group of people such as weather forecasters, professional gamblers and hedge-fund managers. This book shows just how important risk intelligence is.

Many people in positions that require high risk intelligence – doctors, financial regulators and bankers – seem unable to navigate doubt and uncertainty. Risk Intelligence is a traveller’s guide to the twilight zone of probabilities and speculation. Dylan Evans shows us how risk intelligence is vital to making good decisions, from dealing with climate change to combating terrorism. He argues that we can all learn a lot from expert gamblers, not just about money, but about how to make decisions in all aspects of our lives.


An accompanying website was launched in 2010, with a test you can take to measure you own Risk Intelligence Quotient, or RQ. Over 40,000 people have taken the test so far, and the surprising findings to emerge from the data are revealed in the book. Test yourself here for free: http://www.projectionpoint.com/ and read the author’s blog at http://blog.projectionpoint.com/



CONTENTS

Chapter One:            Why risk intelligence matters

Chapter Two:            Discovering your risk quotient

Chapter Three:         Into the twilight zone

Chapter Four:           Tricks of the mind

Chapter Five:           The madness of crowds

Chapter Six:             Thinking by numbers 

Chapter Seven:        Weighing the probable

Chapter Eight:          How to gamble and win

Chapter Nine:           Knowing what you know




This page was last updated: 31 January 2012